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ACHN Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Summary - Last 20 Days
Avg. Implied Move (Absolute) Avg. Actual Move (Absolute) # Days Inside Range # Days Outside Range

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Last 20 Days
Date Last Price Implied Move Actual Move Within Range?
23-Jan-2019 2.18 ±4.8% +3.3% Yes
22-Jan-2019 2.11 ±4.3% -3.7% Yes
18-Jan-2019

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17-Jan-2019
16-Jan-2019
15-Jan-2019

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14-Jan-2019
11-Jan-2019
10-Jan-2019

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9-Jan-2019
8-Jan-2019
7-Jan-2019

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4-Jan-2019
3-Jan-2019
2-Jan-2019

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31-Dec-2018
28-Dec-2018
27-Dec-2018

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26-Dec-2018
24-Dec-2018

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