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AKS Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Summary - Last 20 Days
Avg. Implied Move (Absolute) Avg. Actual Move (Absolute) # Days Inside Range # Days Outside Range

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Last 20 Days
Date Last Price Implied Move Actual Move Within Range?
7-Dec-2018 2.84 ±5.5% -3.7% Yes
6-Dec-2018 2.95 ±4.4% -4.5% No
4-Dec-2018

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3-Dec-2018
30-Nov-2018
29-Nov-2018

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28-Nov-2018
27-Nov-2018
26-Nov-2018

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23-Nov-2018
21-Nov-2018
20-Nov-2018

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19-Nov-2018
16-Nov-2018
15-Nov-2018

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14-Nov-2018
13-Nov-2018
12-Nov-2018

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9-Nov-2018
8-Nov-2018

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