APU Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Summary - Last 20 Days
Avg. Implied Move (Absolute) Avg. Actual Move (Absolute) # Days Inside Range # Days Outside Range

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Last 20 Days
Date Last Price Implied Move Actual Move Within Range?
20-May-2019 34.59 ±0.8% -0.6% Yes
17-May-2019 34.81 ±0.5% -1.0% No
16-May-2019

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15-May-2019
14-May-2019
13-May-2019

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10-May-2019
9-May-2019
8-May-2019

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7-May-2019
6-May-2019
3-May-2019

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2-May-2019
1-May-2019
30-Apr-2019

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29-Apr-2019
26-Apr-2019
25-Apr-2019

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24-Apr-2019
23-Apr-2019