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GOL Reviews Financial Outlook
PRNewswire 28-Feb-2019 7:01 AM
SÃO PAULO, Feb. 28, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. ("GOL" or "Company"), (NYSE:GOL), Brazil's #1 airline, reviews its financial outlook for 2019 and 2020. Guidance is adjusted to reflect recent variations in oil prices, reduction in taxes on jet fuel, the appreciation of the BRL versus the USD and the results of the acceleration of 737 MAX aircraft into the GOL fleet.
The Company's guidance highlights key metrics which impact financial results and drive long-term shareholder value. GOL provides forward-looking information that is focused on the main metrics the Company uses to measure business performance. These indicators are useful for investors and analysts who project GOL's results. The Company is providing financial projections in IFRS 16.
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Financial Outlook
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2019E(1)
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2020E(1)
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(Consolidated, IFRS)
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Previous
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Revised
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Previous
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Revised
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Total fleet (average)
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122 to 125
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122 to 125
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125 to 128
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125 to 128
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Total operational fleet (average)
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~117
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117
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~120
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120
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ASKs, System (% change)
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6 to 10
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6 to 10
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7 to 10
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7 to 10
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- Domestic
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2 to 4
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2 to 4
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3 to 5
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3 to 5
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- International
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35 to 45
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35 to 45
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10 to 20
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10 to 20
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Seats, System (% change)
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3 to 4
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3 to 4
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1 to 3
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1 to 3
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Departures, System (% change)
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3 to 5
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3 to 5
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1 to 3
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1 to 3
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Average load factor (%)
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79 to 81
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79 to 81
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79 to 81
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79 to 81
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Ancillary revenues, net2 (R$ bn)
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~ 1.0
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~ 1.0
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~ 1.1
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~ 1.1
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Total net revenues (R$ billion)
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~ 12.9
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~ 12.9
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~ 14.2
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~ 14.2
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Non-fuel CASK (R$ cents)
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~ 13
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~ 13
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~ 13
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~ 13
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Fuel liters consumed (mm)
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~ 1,420
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~ 1,420
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~ 1,480
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~ 1,480
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Fuel price (R$/liter)
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~ 2.9
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~ 2.8
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~ 3.0
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~ 2.9
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EBITDA margin (%)
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~ 27
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~ 28
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~ 28
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~ 29
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EBIT margin (%)
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~ 17
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~ 18
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~ 18
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~ 19
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Net financial expense3 (R$ billion)
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~ 1.2
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~ 1.2
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~ 1.2
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~ 1.2
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Pre-tax margin3 (%)
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~ 9
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~ 10
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~ 11
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~ 12
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Effective income tax rate (%)
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~ 20
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~ 20
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~ 20
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~ 20
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Minority interest4 (R$ mm)
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~ 300
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~ 300
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~ 330
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~ 330
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Capex, net (R$ mm)
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~ 650
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~ 650
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~ 600
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~ 600
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Net Debt5 / EBITDA (x)
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~ 3.0x
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~ 2.9x
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~ 2.5x
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~ 2.4x
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Fully-diluted shares out. (million)
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348.7
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349.9
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348.7
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349.9
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EPS, fully diluted (R$)
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2.20 to 2.60
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2.40 to 2.80
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2.60 to 3.10
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2.80 to 3.30
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Fully-diluted ADS out. (million)
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174.4
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174.9
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174.4
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174.9
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EPADS, fully diluted (US$)
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1.20 to 1.40
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1.30 to 1.50
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1.60 to 1.90
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1.70 to 2.00
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(1) Considers adoption of IFRS 16;
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(2) Net revenue of cargo, loyalty, buy-on-board and other ancillary revenues;(3) Excluding currency gains and losses;
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(3) Excluding currency gains and losses;
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(4) Source: average of analyst estimates reported on Bloomberg;
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(5) Excluding perpetual bonds.
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The current guidance may be adjusted in order to incorporate the evolution of GOL's operating and financial performance and any eventual changes to the Brazilian economy and GOL's broader economic environment, including variations in economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates, and international oil price trends. GOL is hedged for approximately 60% of its fuel consumption for the remainder of 2019, at an average cost of US$61.
GOL Investor Relations
ri@voegol.com.br
www.voegol.com.br/ri
+55(11) 2128-4700
About GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (www.voegol.com.br): Brazil's largest airline group with three main businesses: passenger transportation, cargo transportation and coalition loyalty program.
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SOURCE GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A.
