AMAT Credit Put Spread Appears to be Overvalued at $0.91

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This AMAT Credit Put Spread Can Net 44% in 4 Days

Bullish play with a target stock price of $135 or above

Strategy has +44% upside potential and 10% overvalued

Buy132 Put
Sell135 Put

Applied Materials stock price has gained +4.8% today to $136.67. Based on moving averages, AMAT has been in a uptrend since May 23, so this spread would be a great way to leverage a bullish outlook. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for AMAT has a theoretical 69% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for AMAT Put Spread at 02-Jun-23 Expiration

If AMAT stock price at expiration is at or above $135.00, this spread has a 44% upside potential

The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $135.00 on the expiration date, June 2, 2023. In that scenario, both puts would expire worthless, allowing you to keep the entire $0.91 you received when selling the spread. That corresponds to a potential +44% return on the amount at risk with 4 days left until expiration.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or above 135.00. The maximum gain is $0.91

The breakeven point is at 134.09, which is 1.9% below the current spot price.

The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or below 132. The max loss is $2.09.

AMAT Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

AMAT Put Spread is trading at a 10% premium to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in AMAT was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 0.83, with a high mark of 0.99 and a low of 0.63.

Currently, this vertical put spread is bid at 0.91 and offered at 1.01. The midpoint of the spread is 0.96.

If we use 0.83 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 10% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 16% premium.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Spreads
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.


The AMAT put spread we've identified here can be a good way to play a bullish outlook because the option strategy has a +44% upside potential, is 10% overpriced relative to historical measures, and will benefit from a stock price at or above $135.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!

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NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at

The information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. All stock price information is provided and transmitted as received from independent third-party data sources. The Information should only be used as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments and trading strategies. The Company does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the Information.