Pick a stock and an options strategy, and see how it would have done, trade by trade, on our own option prices going back to 2015. Then save it, and put the ones you like into a portfolio to see how they do from today on.
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| Setting | What it means | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Strategy | What you trade. Selling options collects premium (you profit if the stock doesn't move against you); buying options is a bet on a move. | "Sell a put" = get paid now; you may have to buy the stock at the strike. |
| Days to expiration | How far out the option expires. We pick the expiration nearest your number that we have prices for. | 30 = about one month. |
| Strike (delta) | How far from the stock price the strike is. Delta is roughly the chance the option finishes in the money. | 0.30 = about a 30% chance; 0.50 = at the money. |
| Second leg | For spreads and condors: the protective option, further out. It caps the loss. | Sell a 0.30-delta put, buy a 0.15-delta put. |
| Open a new trade | When a trade starts: every week, every month, as soon as the last one closes, around each earnings report, or right after a big trade. | "Every week" = the first trading day of each week. |
| Enter at | The price of the day you trade at: the open (9:45 AM), midday or the close. | Midday entries sometimes get better prices than the close. |
| Take profit / Stop loss | Close early when the trade has made or lost this share of the premium. | 50% take profit on a sold put = close once you've kept half of what you collected. |
| Days before expiration / Days held | Close a set number of days before expiration, or after a set number of trading days - whichever comes first. | Close 21 days before expiration to avoid the last weeks' risk. |
| Skip earnings | Don't open a trade that would still be open over an earnings report. | Useful for sellers who don't want the earnings jump. |
| IV rank | Only trade when implied volatility is high (or low) compared with its past year. | Sell premium only when IV rank is 50 or more. |
| Fill at | Which price you trade at: the middle of the bid and ask, or the bid / ask (what you'd really pay). | Bid / ask is the conservative choice. |
| Real fills only | End-of-day prices at the bid / ask, only options that really trade, and an exit waits for a day you could actually trade. Portfolios always use this. | See "Real fills" below. |
A backtest is only useful if the prices were real. With Real fills on (and always in portfolios):
Sell a 30-day, 0.30-delta put on SPY every week and take profit at 50%.
Buy the at-the-money straddle the day before each report, sell the day the stock reacts.
The same weekly SPY puts over 10 years, entered at 12:00 instead of 3:59 PM.
Copy each day's largest $1M+ SPY put purchase, 15 minutes later; take profit at 100%, stop at 50%, close after 10 days.
These are what the strategies did on our historical data; they are hypothetical, not predictions or investment advice - see the disclaimer below.
Important: hypothetical results, not investment advice. The backtests and portfolios on these pages are hypothetical. They show what a set of rules would have done on historical and end-of-day option prices; no trades were placed and no money was invested. Portfolios apply the same rules going forward from the day they were added, using end-of-day prices; they are not real accounts and do not reflect actual trades.
Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Results reflect the fill and commission assumptions stated with each test and may not reflect taxes, margin requirements, early assignment, dividends or other costs.
Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors; before trading options, read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.
This information is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, or as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or to follow any strategy or portfolio. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance, actual or hypothetical, does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades.