Credit Iron Butterfly Spread Screener (Short ATM Strike, Long OTM Strikes)

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Report Date: 4-Oct-2024

Credit Iron Butterfly Spreads involve buying both an out-of-the-money call and an out-of-the-money put, while selling an at-the-money call and an at-the-money put (on the same strike) for a particular expiration of a selected underlying asset. Because you are selling two higher-premium options and buying lower-premium ones, the strategy results in a net credit at the time of the trade.

The goal for this strategy would be for the stock price to remain close to the current spot price. The maximum gain is achieved when the stock price at expiration is right at the strike price of the specified at-the-money strike.

Use the Filter choices to narrow your search by Expiration Date, Market Cap, Theoretical Edge, Earnings Date, Ex-dividend Date, and several others. You can sort the table by clicking on column headings, or you can search for a particular symbol by entering it into the search box above the table. Click on the icons in the Symbols column to view more information on the specific stock.

Click here to learn more about Butterfly Spreads.

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Outlook:Stock Price Stays
Near Current Price

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Option ParametersUnderlying Stock IdeasHistorical Distribution & Payoffs

Strategy Parameters Events Theoretical Edge
In Watchlist Earnings Date Theoretical Edge A positive edge (in green) is when the current market price of the spread is a good deal in relation to the theoretical value calculated from the historical distribution.
Expiration 13 Days to Exp
(9 Trading Days)
Ex-Dividend Theo Win Rate The frequency with which the current market price of the spread would have resulted in positive returns by expiration, based on the historical price changes available for this analysis.
Bid-Ask Spread Company Event Show Best Only This filter will show you only the best available entry per symbol if selected, taking into consideration the other filters already applied.
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Note: E indicates Earnings
Stock Details Credit Theoretical Value Credit Butterfly Details Option Risk Profile Events Volatility Technical Indicators Stock Price Return Distribution for Historical Holding Period
Over Selected Timeframe
Strategy Payoff Scenarios
Symbol Name Stock Price % Chg Market Cap Market
Price
The net option premium received by executing this butterfly spread trade. Because the options you're selling are a higher cost than the options you're buying, you collect a net premium from the spread.
Theo.
Value
Using a historical price return distribution for holding periods matching the # of days to expiration, we calculate a theoretical value of the current strategy based on historical price changes available in this analysis.
Theo.
Edge
A positive edge (in green) is when the current market price of the strategy is a good deal in relation to the theoretical value calculated from the historical distribution.
% Win
Rate
The frequency with which the current market price of the strategy would have resulted in positive returns by expiration, based on the historical price changes available in this analysis.
Sharpe
Ratio
Analysis Buy
Low
Put
Strike
Buy
Low
Put
Bid
Buy
Low
Put
Ask
Sell ATM
1× Call 1× Put
Strike
Sell
ATM
Put
Bid
Sell
ATM
Put
Ask
Sell
ATM
Call
Bid
Sell
ATM
Call
Ask
Buy
High
Call
Strike
Buy
High
Call
Bid
Buy
High
Call
Ask
Expiration Max Gain The maximium gain possible for the selected strategy, given the current market price. % Max
Gain
Tha maximum gain possible for the selected strategy, expressed as a percentage of the max loss (amount at risk)
Max Loss The maximium loss possible for the selected strategy, given the current market price. Breakeven
Price
Low
The stock price at which the strategy breaks even, to the low side of the at-the-money strike.
Breakeven
Price
High
The stock price at which the strategy breaks even, to the high side of the at-the-money strike.
Next Div Ex Date Next Div Amt Next Earnings Underlying
Hist Vol
20-Day
Underlying
Hist Vol
1-Year
As Of Time Moving Avg
Indicator
1-Day
Support/Resistance
% From 52-Wk Low % From 52-Wk High Option Order Flow (Net Delta) Holding
Period
Days
The historical price return distribution uses intervals of this # of holding days
# Obs % Positive
Obs
The % of historical price return observations in which the stock had a positive change in price
% Negative
Obs
The % of historical price return observations in which the stock had a negative change in price
Avg Move The average % move in the stock price for this historical price return distribution Median
Move
The median % move in the stock price for this historical price return distribution
Avg Up
Move
The average % move in the stock price for this historical price return distribution, for only positive price movements
Avg Down
Move
The average % move in the stock price for this historical price return distribution, for only negative price movements
If Stock
-1 StdDev
at Exp
The % return for the option spread if the options expire and the underlying price has declined one standard deviation from the current price. The standard deviation is calculated from the at-the-money straddle's implied move.
If Avg
Down
Move
The % return for the option spread if the stock price at expiration is equivalent to the current stock price plus the average negative % move of the historical price return distribution
% Return
if Stock
Flat
The % return for the option spread if the options expire with the same underlying price as the current underlying price, as a percentage of the total amount at risk
If Avg
Move
The % return for the option spread if the stock price at expiration is equivalent to the current stock price plus the average % move of the historical price return distribution
If Avg
Up
Move
The % return for the option spread if the stock price at expiration is equivalent to the current stock price plus the average positive % move of the historical price return distribution
If Stock
+1 StdDev
at Exp
The % return for the option spread if the options expire and the underlying price has gained one standard deviation from the current price. The standard deviation is calculated from the at-the-money straddle's implied move.

About Historical Distributions

We compile an interval-based historical price return distribution for the underlying stock

If there are 20 days to go until expiration, we go back historically and look at intervals with a 20-day holding period for changes in stock price

If there is an earnings date coming up before expiration, we look at only those historical periods that included an earnings date

Similarly, if there is no earnings date before expiration, we look at only historical periods without earnings

We use those intervals to calculate a theoretical value for the spread based on those historical changes in stock price

Click on the Analysis link for a more detailed breakdown

Theoretical Value & Edge

Using the historical distribution, we calculate a theoretical value of the current spread based on these past changes in stock price.

To determine the edge, we take that value and compare it to the current market price of the spread.

Theoretical Win Rate

Using the historical distribution, win rate represents the percentage of these historical observations where the current spread would have resulted in a positive return (given the observed change in stock price over the specified holding period).

This means that the end value of the spread would have been less than the amount received from the initial sale (Credit).

Dynamic IV Range Modeling

For the historical distribution, we've implemented a new model utilizing dynamic implied volatility ranges to narrow results around the symbol's current volatility environment. The implied volatility (IV30) is recorded at the start of each historical interval. We only select the 50% of historical observations where the IV30 at the time of the observation is the closest to the current IV30 -- 25% above and 25% below.

This way, if the current IV30 is exceptionally high or exceptionally low, we are focusing only on other historical observations that showed similar volatility.

We only utilize this method if we can ensure at least 16 observations. Otherwise, we continue to use all historical observations, as was the case prior to this method being applied.

Table Notes

Note: E indicates earnings within expiration

Tip: Click on the Expiration link to go directly to the option chain