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AGG Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Summary - Last 20 Days
Avg. Implied Move (Absolute) Avg. Actual Move (Absolute) # Days Inside Range # Days Outside Range

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Last 20 Days
Date Last Price Implied Move Actual Move Within Range?
18-Jan-2019 106.35 ±0.3% -0.1% Yes
17-Jan-2019 106.43 ±0.2% -0.1% Yes
16-Jan-2019

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15-Jan-2019
14-Jan-2019
11-Jan-2019

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10-Jan-2019
9-Jan-2019
8-Jan-2019

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7-Jan-2019
4-Jan-2019
3-Jan-2019

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2-Jan-2019
31-Dec-2018
28-Dec-2018

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27-Dec-2018
26-Dec-2018
24-Dec-2018

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21-Dec-2018
20-Dec-2018

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