Click to view the earnings moves in KKR
Did You Know? KKR Stock Has Averaged a 1.4% Move Up on Earnings Days
Every earnings season has its surprises—and today it’s KKR & Co., which just reported results with its shares at $118.42. Whether you’re a KKR investor, a trader, or just market-curious, understanding how the stock tends to behave on earnings days could make all the difference. Let’s unpack the numbers, review the options activity, and spotlight where history may guide expectations next.
KKR’s Typical Earnings Day: Slight Upside Bias, Volatile Intraday Moves
Historically, KKR has leaned toward the upside on earnings days, averaging a +1.4% move with a notable 75% of those days posting a gain. But it’s not a one-way street. Even though most earnings days end positive, the path from open to close has been mixed: just a third of those sessions saw the stock climb from the opening price to the close, and 66.7% saw a decline from open to close. That hints at morning excitement giving way to more cautious trading by day’s end.
To make it easy to visualize, here’s a simplified table summarizing KKR’s earnings day performance, based on the last 12 quarters:
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | +1.4% | +1.4% | +2.8% | -2.1% | 0.0% |
| % of Moves Up | 75.0% | 75.0% | 33.3% | ||
| % of Moves Down | 25.0% | 16.7% | 66.7% |
In absolute terms (regardless of direction), KKR has averaged a 3.5% move on earnings, with past earnings seeing swings as big as 7.3% intraday. The table below gives you a quick glance at the magnitude of typical moves—helpful if you’re sizing up risk:
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolute Average Return | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% |
| Max Absolute Return | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Min Absolute Return | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
What Happens After Earnings? Short-Term Pressure, Then a Bounce
Investors often wonder, “What’s next after earnings day?” For KKR, the day after has historically been lackluster—down an average -0.2% and sliding even more on day two. However, the pattern tends to reverse in the longer term, with an average gain of +4.1% two weeks out from earnings, and 58.3% of post-earnings fortnights finishing higher.
| Stock Performance | 1 Day After Earnings | 2 Days After Earnings | 3 Days After Earnings | 1 Week After Earnings | 2 Weeks After Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | -0.2% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
| % of Moves Up | 50.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| % of Moves Down | 50.0% | 75.0% | 50.0% | 58.3% | 41.7% |
If you want to dive even deeper, you can explore more detailed statistics for KKR's historical earnings moves on this dedicated earnings performance page.
Spotlight: Today’s Most Active Option Trade on KKR
The earnings day didn’t just stir the stock—it sparked heavy interest in KKR options. Today’s standout was a single contract, the January 16, 2026 $180 Call, which saw more action than any other.
| Option Contract | 16-Jan-26 180 C |
| Volume | 3,460 |
| VWAP price | 0.06 |
| Open interest | 4,692 |
| Yesterday's closing price | 0.25 |
With the underlying trading far from that $180 strike, it looks like traders are either speculating on a big future breakout or positioning for long-term upside exposure on the cheap—especially with today’s heavy volume at a fraction of yesterday’s price.
The Bottom Line: What to Watch
KKR’s earnings day history reveals plenty of volatility—an initial pop is more likely than not, but it often fades intraday. Post-earnings, there’s some near-term downside pressure, but longer term the stock has a track record of bouncing back. And with the options market showing big bets far out of the money, someone is positioning for the unexpected. As always, history doesn’t guarantee the future, but it certainly provides some context worth noting as the dust settles from KKR’s latest results.
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