Click to view the earnings moves in VENU
VENU Slides 2.1% on Earnings: What Can Traders Learn from History?
Venu Holding (NYSE: VENU) marked its first anniversary as a public company today—yet, after announcing its latest earnings, the stock price slipped 2.1% to $10.15. This may sound like bad news, but what does history suggest about VENU's stock behavior around earnings? Is a move like this par for the course, or should investors expect more surprises in the days ahead?
A Look Back: How Has VENU Traded on Earnings Days?
Let’s crunch the numbers: Over the last 12 quarters, VENU’s average return on the day of earnings is -1.8%. On two-thirds of those occasions (66.7%), the stock moved lower, showing a tendency to trade with a bearish bias on the big day. Even the initial open gap averaged just -0.2%. The high of the day post-earnings averaged +2.7%, while moves to the low were more extreme, at -5.6%—again pointing toward more dramatic dips than rallies on earnings days.
Here’s a quick table to visualize these key stats from past earnings reports:
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | -1.8% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -5.6% | -1.6% |
| % of Moves Up | 33.3% | 33.3% | 50.0% | ||
| % of Moves Down | 66.7% | 66.7% | 50.0% |
What about the size of the swings? On average, VENU moves about 6.1% (absolute value) on earnings day, with some moves as large as 21.4%. The market was expecting a ±15.8% move this time, which underscores just how volatile VENU can be after results.
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolute Average Return | 6.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% |
| Max Absolute Return | 21.4% | 3.0% | 9.4% | 21.6% | 21.4% |
| Min Absolute Return | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% |
Want to see more historical stock performance for VENU on earnings? Check out the full earnings day stats here.
Post-Earnings Trends: Do Rebounds Happen?
While the day of earnings often brings red, the story after earnings can look a bit brighter. VENU's average return one day after earnings is +2.1%, rising to +5.5% two days out—with a notable 80% of those occasions being positive moves. Even one week later, VENU averages a modest +2.3%, though by two weeks, the average return dips slightly negative at -0.2%.
| Stock Performance | 1 Day After Earnings | 2 Days After Earnings | 3 Days After Earnings | 1 Week After Earnings | 2 Weeks After Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | +2.1% | +5.5% | +4.3% | +2.3% | -0.2% |
| % of Moves Up | 60.0% | 80.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| % of Moves Down | 40.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
Historically, then, traders eyeing a post-earnings bounce in VENU may be hoping that past is prologue. But with only about a third of past earnings days posting positive returns, the ride can be bumpy.
Today's Options Action: Almost Nonexistent—But the Most Traded Contract Was...
Today’s options activity on VENU was practically silent, with just a single contract traded. But if you want to peek into what caught the (lone) trader’s eye, here’s the breakdown of today’s most active single leg option:
| Option Contract | 19-Dec-25 7.5 C |
| Volume | 1 |
| VWAP price | 2.51 |
| Open interest | 1 |
| Yesterday's closing price | 2.30 |
Big Picture: Headlines, Momentum, and What’s Next
Despite today’s selloff, VENU’s management continues to push for growth, with operational wins, new partnerships, and expansion into new markets fueling optimism. As the company celebrates one year on the NYSE American, it’s rapidly growing both its footprint and reputation—though its stock has so far responded with typical volatility around earnings days.
Takeaway for Readers: While history shows VENU often dips on earnings day, post-earnings bounces are not uncommon. But with swings this big, and a history of two-thirds downside moves, the next few days could offer insight into whether VENU’s growth story can turn today’s red into tomorrow’s green. Check out VENU's full historical earnings price stats here to see more.
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