Click to view the earnings moves in LASE
Laser Photonics (LASE) Earnings Hit—But What Does History Say About the Stock’s Next Move?
Laser Photonics (NASDAQ: LASE) announced its third-quarter 2025 results today, highlighting strong 28% revenue growth year-over-year and a 178% surge in year-to-date revenue. But with shares recently trading at $2.53 (down 2.3% on the day), and options markets bracing for a potential ±8.8% swing, the real question is: What does history tell us about LASE’s typical post-earnings behavior?
History Shows: Downside Bias on Earnings Day—But Surprising Bounces Follow
LASE’s earnings days have tended to bring red screens for shareholders. Examining historical earnings performance over the last 12 quarters shows the stock slipping an average of -3.3% on report days—with downside moves outnumbering gains three-to-one (75% of earnings days end lower). The stock often gaps up at the open by +3.1%, but then drifts even lower, averaging -5.8% from open to close. The volatility is real: previous earnings swings have hit as high as 59.3%.
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | -3.3% | +3.1% | +6.8% | -10.4% | -5.8% |
| % of Moves Up | 25.0% | 33.3% | 25.0% | ||
| % of Moves Down | 75.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
To underscore the risk: the average move to the low of the earnings day is -10.4%, while the run to the day’s high is +6.8%. It’s a pattern of initial optimism followed by heavy selling pressure—but one that traders could use to their advantage.
Magnitude of Moves: A Volatility Magnet
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolute Average Return | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% |
| Max Absolute Return | 59.3% | 87.4% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 16.5% |
| Min Absolute Return | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
The numbers paint a picture of a stock susceptible to large, and sometimes wild, swings on earnings days. With implied volatility pricing in an 8.8% move today, it’s notable that LASE has a history of even larger average absolute moves—17.1%—underscoring how the options market may even be underestimating the potential risk (or opportunity) in the immediate aftermath of earnings.
Is There an Afterglow? The Post-Earnings Turnaround Effect
Curiously, while LASE often stumbles on earnings day, history suggests that patient traders may find a silver lining. The data shows average gains of +10.7% one week after earnings, with nearly two-thirds of instances (63.6%) ending higher. The average three-day pop clocks in at +9.2%—a notable contrast to the initial slide.
| Stock Performance | 1 Day After Earnings | 2 Days After Earnings | 3 Days After Earnings | 1 Week After Earnings | 2 Weeks After Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | -0.6% | +2.8% | +9.2% | +10.7% | +1.6% |
| % of Moves Up | 36.4% | 54.5% | 54.5% | 63.6% | 63.6% |
| % of Moves Down | 63.6% | 45.5% | 45.5% | 36.4% | 36.4% |
Today’s Results: Fundamentals vs. History
Laser Photonics’ Q3 results show robust revenue momentum, successful market expansion via acquisitions, and a deeper push into key sectors like defense, marine, and semiconductors. Still, the company posted a sizable net loss of $4.7 million for the quarter, impacted by a large inventory write-down and increased expenses. With today’s trading volume almost nonexistent (just one options contract traded), market participants seem to be sitting on their hands—at least until the dust settles from the latest numbers and management guidance.
The Takeaway
While it’s tempting to get caught up in today’s action or despair over another earnings-day dip, the real story for LASE traders might be in the days to come. LASE’s checkered earnings history shows that sell-the-news reactions often reverse as the narrative shifts and new buyers emerge. As always, it’s worth tracking the full historical earnings performance here for the data-driven trader’s edge.
With volatility high and the company poised for new sector wins, will history repeat or surprise? The next few sessions could offer both risk and reward—depending on which side of LASE’s storied earnings script you’re reading from.
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