Click to view the earnings moves in FIP
What Can We Expect from FIP on Earnings Day? Let’s Look at the Data
Ftai Infrastructure (FIP) reported earnings today, and with options traders pricing in a potential ±8.8% swing, the stage is set for some fireworks. But how has FIP actually performed on past earnings days—and do the stats point toward risk, opportunity, or just more volatility?
Quick Recap: Today's Market Set-Up
FIP’s latest price is $6.53, and today’s options market volume stands at 35 contracts. Option traders clearly expect some action, but it’s worth asking: is this the calm before a typical post-earnings storm—or a setup for something more muted?
Digging into the Numbers: Historical Earnings Moves
Here’s a snapshot of how FIP has traded around earnings over the past three years:
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | +0.6% | -0.1% | +5.6% | -4.2% | +0.8% |
| % of Moves Up | 40.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | ||
| % of Moves Down | 60.0% | 70.0% | 50.0% |
What jumps out? The average earnings day return is a modest +0.6%, with the opening gap barely moving the needle at -0.1%. But intraday, things can get wild—FIP has averaged swings up to +5.6% at its highs and -4.2% at its lows. In fact, moves down outnumber moves up, but those spikes offer tactical traders opportunities on both sides.
For a deeper dive into historical price moves on FIP earnings days, check out the full data here.
Just How Big Do Earnings Swings Get?
| Stock Performance | Earnings Move | Open Gap | Open to High | Open to Low | Open to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolute Average Return | 3.9% | 1.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| Max Absolute Return | 10.0% | 5.3% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 10.8% |
| Min Absolute Return | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
While most earnings days are relatively tame, FIP has delivered single-day absolute swings as high as 14.3% intraday—and as low as a mere 0.1%. It’s a stock where big surprises, both up and down, have clearly been on the table.
Post-Earnings Drift: Is There a Pattern?
| Stock Performance | 1 Day After Earnings | 2 Days After Earnings | 3 Days After Earnings | 1 Week After Earnings | 2 Weeks After Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Return | -1.0% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +2.5% | +5.3% |
| % of Moves Up | 40.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| % of Moves Down | 60.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 20.0% |
The one-day drift post-earnings has been negative (-1.0% on average), but a longer-term view is more encouraging—by two weeks after earnings, FIP has averaged a solid +5.3% return, moving up 80% of the time in recent quarters. Short-term, FIP can stumble, but longer-term buyers have generally fared well post-earnings.
Options Action: What’s the Crowd Betting On?
The single most actively traded contract today was a July 2025 call:
| Option Contract | 18-Jul-25 7 C |
|---|---|
| Volume | 15 |
| VWAP price | 0.33 |
| Open interest | 4,831 |
| Yesterday's closing price | 0.28 |
This contract’s trading could point to some big bets on upside through 2025—or could simply be positioning or hedging. With open interest well above today’s trading, there’s plenty of established interest in FIP’s long-term story.
The Bottom Line: What’s Next for FIP?
History tells us that FIP earnings days can produce volatile, unpredictable moves, with big post-earnings reversals possible in both directions. Short-term volatility may reward nimble traders, but patient holders have historically seen gains two weeks after earnings.
For more detailed stats and to analyze every earnings move, check out the historical FIP earnings page. The data won’t predict tomorrow’s headline, but it might just help you avoid being caught off guard.
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