This AMZN Credit Put Spread Targets 43% Return in 4 Days
Bullish play with a target stock price of $147 or above
Strategy has +43% upside potential and 15% overvalued
Option Profit Calculator for AMZN Put Spread at 01-Dec-23 Expiration
If AMZN stock price at expiration is at or above $147.00, this spread has a 43% upside potential
The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $147.00 on the expiration date, December 1, 2023. In that scenario, both puts would expire worthless, allowing you to keep the entire $0.30 you received when selling the spread. That corresponds to a potential +43% return on the amount at risk with 4 days left until expiration.
The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or above 147.00. The maximum gain is $0.30
The breakeven point is at 146.70, which is 1.4% below the current spot price.
The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or below 146. The max loss is $0.70.
AMZN Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average
AMZN Put Spread is trading at a 15% premium to historical average.
Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in AMZN was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 0.26, with a high mark of 0.38 and a low of 0.10.
Currently, this vertical put spread is bid at 0.30 and offered at 0.32. The midpoint of the spread is 0.31.
If we use 0.26 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 15% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 19% premium.
|Historical Values of Similar Spreads
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