AGCO Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Summary - Last 20 Days
Avg. Implied Move (Absolute) Avg. Actual Move (Absolute) # Days Inside Range # Days Outside Range

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Last 20 Days
Date Last Price Implied Move Actual Move Within Range?
25-Apr-2019 69.62 ±1.7% -2.7% No
24-Apr-2019 71.57 ±1.7% -0.4% Yes
23-Apr-2019

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22-Apr-2019
18-Apr-2019
17-Apr-2019

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16-Apr-2019
15-Apr-2019
12-Apr-2019

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11-Apr-2019
10-Apr-2019
9-Apr-2019

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8-Apr-2019
5-Apr-2019
4-Apr-2019

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3-Apr-2019
2-Apr-2019
1-Apr-2019

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29-Mar-2019
28-Mar-2019