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The expected move for Apollo Global Management (New) (APO): the probability of the stock moving a given amount from its current price, estimated from at-the-money implied volatility.

For the latest figures, see APO implied volatility.

APO Expected Move: Market Implied Price Change vs. Actual Price Change

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Option traders can use implied volatility from the option markets to develop an estimate for the expected price range of a stock over a period of time. We use the closest expiring options to develop a one-day expected price move (up or down) each day, and then compare those numbers to the actual price moves that occur. Below is a chart for the last 20 days, if available.

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I Market Implied Price Change
Positive Actual Price Change
Negative Actual Price Change
Market Data Delayed 15 Minutes