Largest Negative One-Day Changes for ARCC

How does ARCC usually behave after a large single-day down move in the stock price?

Using the 12 largest single-day down moves over the last 3 years in ARCC stock, the average move was -3.6% with the single largest daily move of -7.2% occurring on 4-Apr-2025. The following day, ARCC stock price averaged -0.8% losses, with down moves exceeding up moves. The stock was down 67% of the time in that period one day after these significant moves. Earnings dates have been excluded from this analysis.

Catalysts

1 of the moves coincided with a company-issued press release.

1 Week After

The following week, ARCC stock price averaged +1.1% gains, with up moves more frequent than down moves across 12 observations. The stock was up 75% of the time in that period one week following these significant moves.

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Stock Price Performance - 12 Largest Negative One-Day Changes
		Before Event Date (Not Including Day of Selected Event)					Day of Event					After Event Date (Not Including Day of Selected Event)					Custom Range▾
Date	Note	2 Weeks	1 Week	3 Days	2 Days	1 Day	Day-Of Move	Opening Gap	% Open-to-High	% Open-to-Low	Drift Open-to-Close	1 Day	2 Days	3 Days	1 Week	2 Weeks	2 Days Before to 2 Days After
27-Mar-2026 [Stock -2.6%]	Large Market LossSPY had a large loss on the day of -1.7%						-2.6%
27-Feb-2026 [Stock -3.4%]							-3.4%
5-Feb-2026 [Stock -3.9%]	Day After EarningsARCC released earnings 4-Feb-2026 BMOPress Release Ares Capital Corporation Announces December 31, 2025 Financial Results and Declares First Quarter 2026 Dividend of $0.48 Per Share (4-Feb-2026, 7:00 AM Business Wire) Headline Ares Capital signals record $15.8B originations in 2025 while maintaining dividend stability (4-Feb-2026, 12:00 AM Seeking Alpha News)						-3.9%
17-Nov-2025 [Stock -2.6%]							-2.6%
16-Oct-2025 [Stock -2.6%]							-2.6%
9-Oct-2025 [Stock -2.9%]							-2.9%
22-Sep-2025 [Stock -2.9%]							-2.9%
10-Apr-2025 [Stock -4.9%]	Large Market LossSPY had a large loss on the day of -4.4%						-4.9%
7-Apr-2025 [Stock -3.3%]							-3.3%
4-Apr-2025 [Stock -7.2%]	Large Market LossSPY had a large loss on the day of -5.9%						-7.2%
3-Apr-2025 [Stock -4.0%]	Large Market LossSPY had a large loss on the day of -4.9%						-4.0%
11-Mar-2025 [Stock -2.6%]							-2.6%
Simple Average Returns - 12 Largest Negative One-Day Changes
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Absolute Average Returns - 12 Largest Negative One-Day Changes
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Median, Minimum, and Maximum Returns - 12 Largest Negative One-Day Changes
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