Allstate Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results

Business Wire 30-Oct-2024 5:30 PM

Generates excellent returns despite higher catastrophe losses

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) today reported financial results for the third quarter of 2024.

Third Quarter 2024 Results

• Total revenues of $16.6 billion in the third quarter of 2024 were $2.1 billion or 14.7% above the prior year quarter driven by increased Property-Liability earned premium.

• Net income applicable to common shareholders was $1.2 billion in the third quarter of 2024 compared to a net loss of $41 million in the prior year quarter, as Property-Liability underwriting results improved. Adjusted net income* was $1.0 billion, or $3.91 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income* of $214 million in the prior year quarter.

"Allstate's focus on near-term performance while implementing our long-term growth plan resulted in strong financial returns and an improved strategic position," said Tom Wilson, Allstate's Chair, CEO and President. "Revenues increased by almost 15% from the prior year, net income was $1.2 billion for the quarter and adjusted net income return on equity* was 26.1% for the prior twelve months. Successful execution of the auto insurance profit improvement plan benefited results generating $486 million of auto insurance underwriting income. The homeowners insurance business is also generating good returns with an underwriting profit in the quarter despite $1.2 billion of catastrophe losses, 40% higher than the prior year quarter. Third quarter results included Hurricanes Beryl, Debby, Francine and Helene where we deployed over 5,000 people to handle more than 100,000 claims. Hurricane Milton impacted customers shortly after the quarter with estimated losses of approximately $100 million. Strong performance from Protection Services, Health and Benefits and Investments contributed to adjusted net income* of $3.91 per share."

"Progress was also made on implementing the strategy to increase market share in personal Property-Liability and expand protection solutions. Allstate Protection auto insurance new business sales increased 26% with increased advertising and expanded distribution. However, retention losses reflecting the impact of significant price increases over the last several years offset this growth resulting in a decline in auto policies in force. Homeowners insurance margins improved and policies in force are 2.5% higher than the prior year. Protection Plans expanded internationally and acquired Kingfisher to enhance mobile device protection capabilities. Operational excellence and implementation of the growth strategy will continue to create shareholder value," concluded Wilson.

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• Property-Liability earned premiums of $13.7 billion increased 11.6% in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the prior year quarter, primarily driven by higher average premium levels. Underwriting income of $495 million in the quarter was $909 million better than a $414 million loss in the prior year quarter.

• Premiums written increased 10.5% compared to the prior year quarter reflecting higher premiums for both Allstate and National General brands.

• Property-Liability combined ratio was 96.4 for the quarter and 96.9 for the first nine months of 2024. This was 7.0 points and 12.9 points better than the prior year as higher average earned premiums and improved underlying loss experience more than offset increased catastrophe losses in the third quarter and advertising expenses.

• Allstate Protection auto insurance results reflect successful execution of a comprehensive plan to restore margins. Profitability improvement supported increased growth investments in rate adequate states and risk segments.

• Earned premiums grew 11.1% compared to the prior year quarter. The increase was driven by rate increases, partially offset by a decline in policies in force of 1.5%.

• Allstate brand auto rate increases result in an annualized total brand premium impact of 2.9% in the quarter and 6.3% through the first nine months of 2024. National General auto rate increases result in an annualized total brand premium impact of 1.7% in the quarter and 7.8% through the first nine months of 2024.

• The recorded auto insurance combined ratio of 94.8 in the third quarter of 2024 was 7.3 points lower than the prior year quarter, reflecting higher average earned premiums, improved underlying loss experience and favorable prior year reserve reestimates.

• The severity estimated for claims reported in the first two quarters of the year was reduced in the third quarter which had a favorable impact on quarterly results. Excluding this impact, the third quarter combined ratio would have been 95.6.

• Prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates were favorable $55 million in the third quarter, reflecting favorable Allstate brand reserve development, primarily driven by physical damage coverages.

• Allstate Protection homeowners insurance generates attractive returns and is an attractive growth opportunity. The third quarter was profitable despite a 40% increase in catastrophe losses. Premiums earned increased to $3.4 billion and the recorded combined ratio was 98.2. Third quarter catastrophe losses were $1.2 billion reflecting four hurricanes and 46 severe weather and other events. The recorded combined ratio for the first nine months of 2024 was 97.5 which generated $249 million of underwriting income compared to an underwriting loss of $2.0 billion during the same period in 2023.

• Earned premiums increased by 14.6% compared to the prior year quarter, primarily reflecting higher average premium and policies in force growth of 2.5%.

• Policies in force growth reflects improved retention and increased new policy sales.

• Allstate brand homeowners rate increases result in an annualized total brand premium impact of 3.1% in the quarter and 7.6% through the first nine months of 2024. Implemented rate increases and inflation in insured home replacement costs resulted in a 10.8% increase in homeowners insurance average gross written premium compared to the prior year quarter.

• National General brand homeowners rate increases result in an annualized total brand premium impact of 2.2% in the quarter and 6.1% through the first nine months of 2024.

• Catastrophe losses of $1.2 billion in the quarter increased $353 million compared to the prior year quarter.

• The recorded homeowners insurance combined ratio of 98.2 was 6.2 points below the third quarter of 2023 reflecting higher average earned premiums and favorable average underlying loss costs partially offset by higher catastrophe losses. The underlying combined ratio* of 62.1 decreased by 10.8 points compared to the prior year quarter.

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• Protection Services provides protection solutions and services through five businesses largely by embedding Allstate branded offerings in non-insurance purchases. Revenues increased to $822 million in the third quarter of 2024, 17.9% higher than the prior year quarter, primarily due to Allstate Protection Plans and Arity. Adjusted net income of $58 million increased by $31 million compared to the prior year quarter, driven by Allstate Protection Plans.

• Allstate Protection Plans continued to grow rapidly by expanding distribution relationships and protection offerings. Revenue of $512 million increased $96 million, or 23.1%, compared to the prior year quarter driven by growth in North American and international business. Adjusted net income of $39 million in the third quarter of 2024 was $19 million higher than the prior year quarter.

• Allstate Dealer Services generated revenue of $146 million and adjusted net income of $5 million which were consistent with the prior year quarter.

• Allstate Roadside revenue of $53 million in the third quarter of 2024 decreased 23.2% compared to the prior year quarter reflecting the discontinuance of a large unprofitable account. Adjusted net income of $10 million was $3 million higher than the prior year quarter, primarily driven by increased pricing, improved provider capacity and lower costs.

• Arity revenue of $74 million increased $45 million compared to the prior year quarter, due to higher revenue from lead sales. Adjusted net income of $1 million in the third quarter of 2024 was $7 million higher than prior year quarter.

• Allstate Identity Protection revenue of $37 million in the third quarter of 2024 was consistent with prior year quarter. Adjusted net income of $3 million in the third quarter of 2024 was $2 million higher than prior year quarter driven by lower operating expenses.

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• Allstate Health and Benefits

• Divestiture of these businesses is being pursued to capture value through greater strategic alignment with acquiring companies. An agreement to sell the Employer Voluntary Benefits (EVB) business to StanCorp Financial for $2 billion was finalized and will be completed upon regulatory approval. As a result, EVB is classified as "Held For Sale" on the balance sheet while operations are fully reflected in results. The process to evaluate disposition of the remaining two businesses is progressing.

• Premiums and contract charges for health and benefits increased 5.2%, or $24 million, compared to the prior year quarter primarily due to growth in individual health and group health, partially offset by a decline in employer voluntary benefits. Adjusted net income of $37 million in the third quarter was $32 million lower than prior year quarter attributable to increased benefit utilization across all businesses.

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• Allstate Investments pursues a proactive approach to balancing risk and returns for the $73.6 billion portfolio. In 2023, fixed income duration was extended and public equity holdings significantly lowered to optimize risk adjusted returns on capital. Net investment income of $783 million in the third quarter of 2024, increased by $94 million from the prior year quarter due to portfolio repositioning into higher yielding fixed income securities and increased investment balances.

• Market-based investment income was $708 million in the third quarter of 2024, an increase of $141 million, or 24.9%, compared to the prior year quarter, reflecting higher yields and increased asset balances in the $63.3 billion market-based portfolio. Fixed income duration was 5.3 years as of September 30, 2024, 0.5 years above prior year end.

• Performance-based investment income totaled $143 million in the third quarter of 2024, a decrease of $43 million compared to the prior year quarter primarily reflecting lower real estate investment results. The portfolio allocation to performance-based assets provides a diversifying source of higher long-term returns, and volatility in reported results is expected.

• Net gains on investments and derivatives were $243 million in the third quarter of 2024, compared to losses of $86 million in the prior year quarter. Net gains in the third quarter of 2024 were driven by valuation gains on equity investments and sales of fixed income securities.

• Unrealized net capital gains increased by $1.7 billion from the second quarter of 2024 as lower interest rates resulted in higher fixed income valuations.

• Total return on the investment portfolio was 3.7% for the third quarter of 2024 and 9.4% for the latest twelve months.

Proactive Capital Management

"Allstate continues to be strongly capitalized while generating attractive returns with adjusted net income return on equity* of 26.1% over the last twelve months. Total estimated statutory surplus in the insurance companies increased to $17.3 billion and $3.0 billion of assets are held at the holding company. The divestiture of the Employer Voluntary Benefits business is expected in the first half of 2025," said Jess Merten, Chief Financial Officer.

Visit www.allstateinvestors.com for additional information about Allstate's results, including a webcast of its quarterly conference call and the call presentation. The conference call will be at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, October 31. Financial information, including material announcements about The Allstate Corporation, is routinely posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains "forward-looking statements" that anticipate results based on our estimates, assumptions and plans that are subject to uncertainty. These statements are made subject to the safe-harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and may be identified by their use of words like "plans," "seeks," "expects," "will," "should," "anticipates," "estimates," "intends," "believes," "likely," "targets" and other words with similar meanings. We believe these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions and plans. However, if the estimates, assumptions or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those communicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking statements may be found in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the "Risk Factors" section in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements are as of the date on which they are made, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement.

Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures

We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP measures. Our methods for calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Adjusted net income is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:

• Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives
• Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses
• Amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles
• Gain or loss on disposition
• Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years
• Related income tax expense or benefit of these items

Net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to adjusted net income.

We use adjusted net income as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations. We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the Company's ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, gain or loss on disposition and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items and the related tax expense or benefit of these items. Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, and pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Gain or loss on disposition is excluded because it is non-recurring in nature and the amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles is excluded because it relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying business results or trends. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Accordingly, adjusted net income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to determine adjusted net income is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. Adjusted net income is used by management along with the other components of net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of adjusted net income in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, adjusted net income and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize adjusted net income results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the Company and management's performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses adjusted net income as the denominator. Adjusted net income should not be considered a substitute for net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders and adjusted net income (loss). Taxes on adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders and adjusted net income (loss) generally use a 21% effective tax rate.

Adjusted net income (loss) return on Allstate common shareholders' equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month adjusted net income by the average of Allstate common shareholders' equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on Allstate common shareholders' equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. We use adjusted net income as the numerator for the same reasons we use adjusted net income, as discussed previously. We use average Allstate common shareholders' equity excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the denominator as a representation of common shareholders' equity primarily applicable to Allstate's earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders and return on Allstate common shareholders' equity because it excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with return on Allstate common shareholders' equity because it eliminates the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized net capital gains and losses that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management. In addition, it eliminates non-recurring items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine adjusted net income return on Allstate common shareholders' equity from return on Allstate common shareholders' equity is the transparency and understanding of their significance to return on common shareholders' equity variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. We use adjusted measures of adjusted net income return on Allstate common shareholders' equity in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to have adjusted net income return on Allstate common shareholders' equity and return on Allstate common shareholders' equity when evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize adjusted net income return on common shareholders' equity results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's utilization of capital. We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our long-term adjusted net income return on Allstate common shareholders' equity goal. Adjusted net income return on Allstate common shareholders' equity should not be considered a substitute for return on Allstate common shareholders' equity and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile return on Allstate common shareholders' equity and adjusted net income (loss) return on Allstate common shareholders' equity.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles ("underlying combined ratio") is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between four GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio, the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio, and the effect of amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles on the combined ratio. We believe that this ratio is useful to investors, and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles. Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio. Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves, which could increase or decrease current year net income. Amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. The underlying combined ratio should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile the respective combined ratio to the underlying combined ratio. Underwriting margin is calculated as 100% minus the combined ratio.

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