Advanced Drainage Systems Lifts 2026 Guidance After Strong Q2 Growth and $1B Acquisition Plan


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Advanced Drainage Systems Lifts 2026 Guidance After Strong Q2 Growth and $1B Acquisition Plan

Double-Digit Infiltrator Sales and Improved Margins Highlight Q2 Performance

Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE: WMS) impressed with its fiscal second quarter 2026 results, signaling a solid step forward on both organic and acquisition-led growth. Net sales jumped 8.7% year-over-year to $850.4 million, fueled in part by a 25.2% leap in Infiltrator sales and resilient core market demand. This robust top-line performance filtered down to profitability, with adjusted EBITDA up 17.1% to $287.53 million, reflecting a margin improvement to 33.8% from 31.4% last year.

Key Metric Q2 FY26 Q2 FY25 Y/Y Change (%)
Net Sales ($M) 850.4 782.6 8.7%
Net Income ($M) 156.5 131.2 19.3%
Adj. EBITDA ($M) 287.53 245.55 17.1%
EPS (Diluted) $1.99 $1.67 19.2%
Free Cash Flow (YTD) ($M) 398.83 238.14 67.5%

Infiltrator and Allied Products Drive Revenue Mix Shift

The real engine behind the Q2 results was the outsized growth from Infiltrator sales—up 25.2% to $179.7 million—buoyed by both the acquisition of Orenco and double-digit organic expansion in tanks and advanced treatment products. Allied products also contributed, up 13.0% year-over-year. Management emphasized that the integration of acquired businesses and ongoing mix shift toward higher-margin offerings is lifting overall profitability. Orenco and River Valley Pipe alone accounted for 3.6% of the 8.7% total sales growth in the quarter.

Balance Sheet Remains Robust as Cash Climbs, Debt Drops

Cash provided by operations for the year-to-date period reached $509.8 million, a sharp increase from $350.3 million last year. Free cash flow surged to $398.8 million, enabling continued investments and a solid $812.9 million in cash as of September 30, 2025. Net debt dropped by $344.2 million since March, improving leverage to just 0.7x trailing adjusted EBITDA—a significant cushion for planned acquisitions and shareholder returns.

Liquidity Metrics Sept 30, 2025 Mar 31, 2025
Cash ($M) 812.9 463.3
Total Liquidity ($M) 1,402.7 NA
Net Debt ($M) 618.1 962.3
Leverage (x EBITDA) 0.7x NA

NDS Acquisition Signals Expansion in Profitable Segments

The company's boldest strategic move: the pending $1 billion acquisition of NDS, a leading U.S. supplier of residential stormwater and irrigation products. Adjusted for expected tax benefits, the transaction value drops to approximately $875 million. The deal, anticipated to close in early 2026, brings new retail and distributor channel opportunities, adds complementary offerings to the Allied Products portfolio, and is expected to deliver over $25 million in annual cost synergies.

This expansion is central to ADS’s ongoing pivot toward higher-growth and higher-margin markets. Management expects NDS to help drive resilience and growth, especially as macro headwinds—like elevated rates and slow construction—persist in the near term.

Updated Guidance Projects Resilient Growth Amid Challenging Macro

With the Q2 outperformance and better visibility, management upgraded fiscal 2026 guidance: net sales are now projected between $2.90 billion and $2.99 billion, and adjusted EBITDA is expected in the range of $900–$940 million. Capital expenditures will remain steady at $200–$225 million.

What’s the Bottom Line for Investors?

Despite construction market uncertainty, ADS’s results stand out for their operational execution, balance sheet strength, and the ambitious NDS deal that could reshape the company’s market profile. Investors may want to track integration progress, the continued shift toward Infiltrator and Allied products, and whether cash flow strength persists amid industry headwinds. With healthy liquidity and disciplined capital allocation, ADS is positioning itself to weather short-term challenges and build longer-term value for shareholders.


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