This TSM Credit Call Spread Could Pay 31% Return in 14 Days
Bearish play with a target stock price of $202.50 or below
Strategy has +31% upside potential and 9% overvalued
Expiration | 22-Nov-24 |
Buy | 207.5 Call |
Sell | 202.5 Call |
Credit: | $1.17 |
Option Profit Calculator for TSM Call Spread at 22-Nov-24 Expiration
If TSM stock price at expiration is at or below $202.50, this spread has a 31% upside potential
The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or below $202.50 on the expiration date, November 22, 2024. In that scenario, both calls would expire worthless, allowing you to keep the entire $1.17 you received when selling the spread. That corresponds to a potential +31% return on the amount at risk with 14 days left until expiration.
The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or below 202.50. The maximum gain is $1.17
The breakeven point is at 203.67, which is 6.2% above the current spot price.
The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or above 207.5. The max loss is $3.83.
TSM Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average
TSM Call Spread is trading at a 9% premium to historical average.
Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in TSM was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 1.07, with a high mark of 1.68 and a low of 0.56.
Currently, this vertical call spread is bid at 1.17 and offered at 1.31. The midpoint of the spread is 1.24.
If we use 1.07 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 9% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 16% premium.
Current Price | Historical Values of Similar Spreads | ||||
Bid | Ask | Midpoint | Average | High | Low |
1.17 | 1.31 | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.68 | 0.56 |
Takeaway
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