FXI Debit Call Spread Offered at Relatively Low Price of $1.61


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This FXI Debit Call Spread Could Pay 117% Return in 17 Days

Bullish play with a target stock price of $37 or above

Strategy has +117% upside potential and 12% undervalued


Expiration25-Oct-24
Buy33.5 Call
Sell37 Call
Debit:$1.61


iShares China Large-Cap ETF stock price has gained +6.5% today to $35.24. Based on moving averages, FXI has been in a uptrend since September 16, so this spread would be a great way to leverage a bullish outlook. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for FXI has a theoretical 60% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for FXI Call Spread at 25-Oct-24 Expiration

If FXI stock price at expiration is at or above $37.00, this spread has a 117% upside potential

The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $37.00 on the expiration date, October 25, 2024. In that scenario, both calls would be in-the-money, so the spread would be worth the maximum value of 3.50. That would equate to the potential upside of +117% for this call spread with 17 days left to expiration.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or above 37.00. The maximum gain is $1.89

The breakeven point is at 35.11, which is 0.4% below the current spot price.

The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or below 33.5. The max loss is $1.61.

FXI Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

FXI Call Spread is trading at a 12% discount to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in FXI was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 1.82, with a high mark of 2.03 and a low of 1.57.

Currently, this vertical call spread is bid at 0.22 and offered at 1.61. The midpoint of the spread is 0.91.

If we use 1.82 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market ask price is at a 12% discount, while the current market midpoint represents a 50% discount.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Spreads
BidAskMidpointAverageHighLow
0.221.610.911.822.031.57
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.

Takeaway

The FXI call spread we've identified here can be a good way to play a bullish outlook because the option strategy has a +117% upside potential, is 12% underpriced relative to historical measures, and will benefit from a stock price at or above $37.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!



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NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at theocc.com.


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