This SPY Debit Call Spread Could Turn 55% Profit in 18 Days
Bullish play with a target stock price of $583 or above
Strategy has +55% upside potential and 3% undervalued
Expiration | 15-Nov-24 |
Buy | 580 Call |
Sell | 583 Call |
Debit: | $1.93 |
Option Profit Calculator for SPY Call Spread at 15-Nov-24 Expiration
If SPY stock price at expiration is at or above $583.00, this spread has a 55% upside potential
The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $583.00 on the expiration date, November 15, 2024. In that scenario, both calls would be in-the-money, so the spread would be worth the maximum value of 3.00. That would equate to the potential upside of +55% for this call spread with 18 days left to expiration.
The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or above 583.00. The maximum gain is $1.07
The breakeven point is at 581.93, which is 0.1% below the current spot price.
The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or below 580. The max loss is $1.93.
SPY Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average
SPY Call Spread is trading at a 3% discount to historical average.
Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in SPY was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 2.00, with a high mark of 2.22 and a low of 1.77.
Currently, this vertical call spread is bid at 1.88 and offered at 1.93. The midpoint of the spread is 1.91.
If we use 2.00 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market ask price is at a 3% discount, while the current market midpoint represents a 5% discount.
Current Price | Historical Values of Similar Spreads | ||||
Bid | Ask | Midpoint | Average | High | Low |
1.88 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.77 |
Takeaway
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