QCOM Debit Put Spread is Attractively Priced at $4.20; Theoretical Value $4.34


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This QCOM Debit Put Spread Can Net 19% in 2 Days

Bearish play with a target stock price of $157.50 or below

Strategy has +19% upside potential and 3% undervalued


Expiration22-Nov-24
Buy162.5 Put
Sell157.5 Put
Debit:$4.20


Qualcomm has fallen by -5.8% today to $155.23. Based on moving averages, QCOM has been in a downtrend since November 14, so this spread would be a great way to leverage a bearish outlook. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for QCOM has a theoretical 76% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for QCOM Put Spread at 22-Nov-24 Expiration

If QCOM stock price at expiration is at or below $157.50, this spread has a 19% upside potential

The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or below $157.50 on the expiration date, November 22, 2024. In that scenario, both puts would be in-the-money, so the spread would be worth the maximum value of 5.00. That would equate to the potential upside of +19% for this put spread with 2 days left to expiration.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or below 157.50. The maximum gain is $0.80

The breakeven point is at 158.30, which is 2.0% above the current spot price.

The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or above 162.5. The max loss is $4.20.

QCOM Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

QCOM Put Spread is trading at a 3% discount to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in QCOM was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 4.34, with a high mark of 4.76 and a low of 3.51.

Currently, this vertical put spread is bid at 3.65 and offered at 4.20. The midpoint of the spread is 3.92.

If we use 4.34 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market ask price is at a 3% discount, while the current market midpoint represents a 10% discount.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Spreads
BidAskMidpointAverageHighLow
3.654.203.924.344.763.51
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.

Takeaway

The QCOM put spread we've identified here can be a good way to play a bearish outlook because the option strategy has a +19% upside potential, is 3% underpriced relative to historical measures, and will benefit from a stock price at or below $157.50.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!



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