This MRNA Credit Put Spread Could Pay 74% Return in 19 Days
Bullish play with a target stock price of $40.50 or above
Strategy has +74% upside potential and 4% overvalued
| Expiration | 20-Dec-24 |
| Buy | 36.5 Put |
| Sell | 40.5 Put |
| Credit: | $1.70 |
Option Profit Calculator for MRNA Put Spread at 20-Dec-24 Expiration
If MRNA stock price at expiration is at or above $40.50, this spread has a 74% upside potential
The optimal stock price for this option strategy is to close at or above $40.50 on the expiration date, December 20, 2024. In that scenario, both puts would expire worthless, allowing you to keep the entire $1.70 you received when selling the spread. That corresponds to a potential +74% return on the amount at risk with 19 days left until expiration.
The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is at or above 40.50. The maximum gain is $1.70
The breakeven point is at 38.80, which is 4.4% below the current spot price.
The maximum loss will occur when the stock price is at or below 36.5. The max loss is $2.30.
MRNA Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average
MRNA Put Spread is trading at a 4% premium to historical average.
Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in MRNA was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 1.64, with a high mark of 2.22 and a low of 1.42.
Currently, this vertical put spread is bid at 1.70 and offered at 1.84. The midpoint of the spread is 1.77.
If we use 1.64 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 4% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 8% premium.
| Current Price | Historical Values of Similar Spreads | ||||
| Bid | Ask | Midpoint | Average | High | Low |
| 1.70 | 1.84 | 1.77 | 1.64 | 2.22 | 1.42 |
Takeaway
See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!
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Marketchameleon is a comprehensive financial research and analysis website specializing in stock and options markets. We leverage extensive data, models, and analytics to provide valuable insights into these markets. Our primary goal is to assist traders in identifying potential market developments and assessing potential risks and rewards.
NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at theocc.com.
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