Why Selling This Iron Condor in AVGO Makes Sense for a $18 Credit


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This AVGO Iron Condor Could Pay 82% Return in 13 Days

Outlook is neutral, with stock confined to a span of ±4%

Strategy has +82% ROI potential and 3% overvalued


Expiration12-Apr-24
Buy1270 Put
Sell1310 Put
Sell1410 Call
Buy1450 Call
Credit:$18.00


Broadcom is weaker by -0.4% today to $1347.67. Over the last two weeks, the stock has traded between $1204.02 and $1403.61. Implied volatility for AVGO is down -4.2% today and sits below its 20-day moving average, indicating the market's forecast towards lower volatility. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for AVGO has a theoretical 83% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for AVGO Iron Condor at 12-Apr-24 Expiration

If AVGO stock price at expiration is between $1310.00 and $1410.00, this spread has a 82% upside potential

As you can see in the chart above, the most profitable outcome is for AVGO stock price to close between $1310.00 and $1410.00 at the April 12, 2024 expiration. Within that price range, all of the options will expire worthless, and you'd keep the original $18.00 credit you received at the time of the trade.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is between $1310.00 and $1410.00. The maximum gain is $18.00

The maximum loss would occur if the stock price at expiration is below $1270.00 or above $1450.00. The maximum loss is $22.00

AVGO Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

AVGO Iron Condor is trading at a 3% premium to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in AVGO was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 17.43, with a high mark of 23.77 and a low of 11.47.

Currently, this iron condor is bid at 18.00 and offered at 21.30. The midpoint of the spread is 19.65.

If we use 17.43 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 3% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 13% premium.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Iron Condors
BidAskMidpointAverageHighLow
18.0021.3019.6517.4323.7711.47
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!



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NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at theocc.com.


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