NVDA Iron Condor Spread Can Make 46% in Next 12 Days


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This NVDA Iron Condor Targets 46% Return in 12 Days

Outlook is neutral, with stock confined to a range of ±5%

Strategy has +46% ROI potential and 15% overvalued


Expiration03-May-24
Buy745 Put
Sell830 Put
Sell915 Call
Buy1000 Call
Credit:$26.87


Nvidia stock price has dropped -1.8% today to $858.26. Over the last two weeks, the stock has traded between $830.22 and $907.39. Implied volatility for NVDA currently sits below its 20-day moving average, indicating the market's forecast for lower volatility. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for NVDA has a theoretical 73% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for NVDA Iron Condor at 03-May-24 Expiration

If NVDA stock price at expiration is between $830.00 and $915.00, this spread has a 46% upside potential

As you can see in the chart above, the optimal outcome is for NVDA stock price to close between $830.00 and $915.00 at the May 3, 2024 expiration. Within that price range, all of the options will expire worthless, and you'd keep the original $26.87 credit you received at the time of the trade.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is between $830.00 and $915.00. The maximum gain is $26.87

The maximum loss would occur if the stock price at expiration is below $745.00 or above $1000.00. The maximum loss is $58.13

NVDA Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

NVDA Iron Condor is trading at a 15% premium to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in NVDA was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 23.35, with a high mark of 32.37 and a low of 13.84.

Currently, this iron condor is bid at 26.87 and offered at 27.55. The midpoint of the spread is 27.21.

If we use 23.35 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 15% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 17% premium.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Iron Condors
BidAskMidpointAverageHighLow
26.8727.5527.2123.3532.3713.84
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!



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NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at theocc.com.


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