Why Selling This Iron Condor in REGN Makes Sense for a $22.7 Credit


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This REGN Iron Condor Could Pay 70% Return in 11 Days

Outlook is neutral, with stock confined to a range of ±3%

Strategy has +70% ROI potential and 31% overvalued


Expiration15-Nov-24
Buy745 Put
Sell800 Put
Sell845 Call
Buy900 Call
Credit:$22.70


Regeneron Pharmaceuticals has seen its price drop -8.9% today to $840.55. Over the last two weeks, the stock has traded between $914.85 and $1013.09. Implied volatility for REGN currently sits below its 20-day moving average, indicating the market's forecast for lower volatility. Based on historical stock price behavior, this spread for REGN has a theoretical 78% success rate.

Option Profit Calculator for REGN Iron Condor at 15-Nov-24 Expiration

If REGN stock price at expiration is between $800.00 and $845.00, this spread has a 70% upside potential

As you can see in the chart above, the optimal outcome is for REGN stock price to close between $800.00 and $845.00 at the November 15, 2024 expiration. Within that price range, all of the options will expire worthless, and you'd keep the original $22.70 credit you received at the time of the trade.

The maximum gain will be realized if the stock price is between $800.00 and $845.00. The maximum gain is $22.70

The maximum loss would occur if the stock price at expiration is below $745.00 or above $900.00. The maximum loss is $32.30

REGN Spread Current Market Price vs. Historical Average

REGN Iron Condor is trading at a 31% premium to historical average.

Using historical data to measure how a similar spread in REGN was priced in the market, the 4-year average value was 17.35, with a high mark of 23.62 and a low of 12.44.

Currently, this iron condor is bid at 22.70 and offered at 28.90. The midpoint of the spread is 25.80.

If we use 17.35 as our historical fair value benchmark, the current market bid price is at a 31% premium, while the current market midpoint represents a 49% premium.

Current PriceHistorical Values of Similar Iron Condors
BidAskMidpointAverageHighLow
22.7028.9025.8017.3523.6212.44
Market Chameleon captures daily records of market data to calculate historical benchmarks and generate estimated values.

See how Market Chameleon can help you make smarter and more efficient trades!



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NOTE: Stock and option trading involves risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Examples contained within this report are simulated And may have limitations. Average returns and occurrences are calculated from snapshots of market mid-point prices And were Not actually executed, so they do not reflect actual trades, fees, or execution costs. This report is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Neither Market Chameleon nor any other party makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor before executing any trades. You can read more about option risks and characteristics at theocc.com.


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